where did I say that? I said they won't want to go deep
in the tax. Once you go in the tax for 3 seasons, even 15M over cap will balloon to insane amounts, you can get to 180M-200M in a hurry. OG could have a breakout year anytime, who thought siakam will get the max one year earlier?
But regardless of that, even if luxury would not be a concern, deciding and agreeing on an extension ahead of term is always a good practice. The only time it makes little sense is when you are giving a max extension, unless a team tries to hedge against a possible 30% contract, like in siakam's case, or it's such a sure fire thing that you don't want to risk repeating the kawhi situation in SA.
We got unlucky (since the award is utterly meaningless after siakam's playoff performance, his reputation will take some recovering now), but even so, siakam got less than max. He would have been eligible for a 30% starting price, and even with the playoff performance, a negotiation down from that would have been riskier- there's potential for bad blood developing if it gets ugly.
The ONLY reason the team would hesitate trying to extend OG is the cap space for a max next year, or else it would have been a no-brainer.
And that's what makes this interesting, masai will have to weigh the medium/long term benefits of an early extension vs the cap space penalty. And it's all in the numbers, obviously, if OG is willing to take anything less than 11.4M, you do it. He'll ask for more, but maybe not much more. Worth calling his agent imo.